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Projected service use

Adults :: Falls :: Projected service use

The projected number of falls admissions has been calculated by applying the admission rates (by five-year age band and gender) observed over 2010– 2012 to ONS population projections for 2013–2021. This methodology assumes that admission rates in the baseline period will remain constant in future years.

  Admissions for fractured neck of femur Admissions for all falls
2007 120 1,217
2008 131 1,198
2009 145 1,496
2010 168 1,490
2011 155 1,613
2012 144 1,260
2013 163 1,519
2014 165 1,544
2015 169 1,579
2016 173 1,614
2017 179 1,662
2018 185 1,708
2019 190 1,755
2020 195 1,801
2021 201 1,852
Table 1: Projected numbers of hospital admissions for fractured neck of femur resulting from falls and for all falls, Medway patients aged 50 years and above Source: Medway Public Health Intelligence Team, April 2013.

Table 1 shows that the overall percentage change from the 2010–2012 baseline in projected number of hospital admissions for hip fractures resulting from falls in Medway patients aged 50 years and above is 29% by 2021. For all falls related admissions in Medway patients aged 50 years and above the percentage change from baseline is 27%. Years beyond 2012 are projected numbers.